Track record

We grade our own homework.

Verdicts are evaluated 90 days after publication. We compare the call against actual market movement and publish hits, misses, and mixed outcomes here.

As of , no verdicts have aged past 90 days. First evaluations expected .

How grading works

  • · A verdict is a hit when the buyer call would have saved or made the reader money relative to the alternative at T+90.
  • · A verdict is a miss when it cost the reader money or signal versus the next-best call.
  • · A verdict is mixed when the direction was right but the magnitude was wrong, or vice versa.

Misses stay on the page. Methodology revisions get versioned in the methodology log.